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20121101
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CNBC 23
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CNBC
Nov 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
way to use earnings season. day traders hijack a lot of the thinking. you're not trying to game the giving quarter. it's become so difficult to predict. and often the initial moves aren't even accurate because of the press conference or because something nasty just occurred in the overall market because of europe or something involved in the election. in other words, other than for those who are shorting or going long stocks ahead of the quarter, these earnings reports need a context to make you money. they can't be relied upon anymore because they aren't as predictive of future behaviors as they once were. they are a piece of the puzzle, a part of the mosaic. they are only one of very important parts of what predicts where a stock will go over the intermediate term. it is a teaching show. because i want you to know the metrics i'm using to pick stocks i talk about and recommend here you can follow along at cnbc.com. i want you to listen to these conference calls or read them in the transcripts. give you an opinion of what matters in these conference calls and how i let them factor
CNBC
Nov 2, 2012 5:00am EDT
congress. even model airplanes have been grounded. if you're just joining us, very good morning to you. this is where we stand. we are at the moment dow 24 points below fair value. let's show you where we is an with you're feuropean stocks. cac down half a percent, ftse 100 down 0.2%. let's show you some individual stocks in focus. losses on friday hurt by a sector wide slump. equipment maker cutting back spending down as you can see merely 7%. rbs coming out with results this morning. this is the uk bank with a government owned majority and part nationalized lending reporting an increase in third quarter. deutsche telecom considering slashing it dividend according to reports. let's show you where we stand on the currency markets. the dollar today ahead of the u.s. jobs report. we'll show you sterling-dollar slightly weaker. dollar slightly firmer against the aussie. and dollar firmer against the yen. so bond yields are slightly firmer this morning. 144. ten year spanish yields higher. italian yielder slightly higher but pretty contained. ten year treasuries where we were yesterday. le
CNBC
Nov 9, 2012 4:00am EST
the if stuff here on on "worldwide exchange." >> but there are two of us. you're back. >> i'm back here. eyes are getting better. >> glasses are gone. >>> so on today's program, we'll bring you live updates from beijing as the chinese economy shows signs of improve. >>> and we'll head out to washington for a view on how the handover of power in china will impact relations in the u.s. >> we're in london to talk about shipping trends. >>> plus what will obama do about the looming fiscal cliff? we'll have plenty of analysis from commentators. >> and we'll hear first from the cfo of aliance. but first day two data suggested growth is picking up and inflation is moderating meaning beijing may have more scope to ease if necessary. ppi industrial output and retail sales all came in better than forecast. eunice joins us from beijing. i'd hate to suggest this is quite good timing for this data. very convenient. >> what are you suggesting? a lot of people are saying that the numbers are showing the economy is bottoming out and a lot of people do use the numbers as a guideline at least. they'
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 4:00am EST
to learn more about them. i'm afraid the details haven't been shared with us. >>> hillary clinton joins egypt in attempting to broke aerodeal between israel and hamas. strikes on gaza and rocket attacks into israel continue. >> you're watching "worldwide exchange," bringing you business news from around the globe. >>> all right, we're into hump day, the day before thanksgiving, of course, as well. on today's show, we'll have updates from athens and brussels as the eurozone ministers fail to ruse a deal for greece. air strikes and rocket fire continue in the gaza strip in tel aviv, as hillary clinton urges both sides to diffuse violence. we'll have the latest live from zree israeli. we'll also take the pulse of the polish country. analysts from warsaw 40 minutes from now. >>> we'll be in providence, rhode island, to preview travel ahead of the thanksgiving holiday with the head of operations at peter pan bus lines. >>> but first, after nearly 12 hours of talks, eurozone finance ministers have failed in their quest to agree conditions that would have allowed the next chance of bailo
CNBC
Nov 13, 2012 4:00am EST
is where us, managing partner at investment managers. but that's clearly because of global weakness -- well, economic weakness in europe and hurricane impact. >> definitely. year over year, oil demand is up. we've had very weak economy in europe. not much growth in the united states. but i think that's the trend we'll be playing out for the next few years. >> oil 110 at the moment. is that a fair price? >> there's premium built in because of geopolitical risks. i think premium is probably justifiable. you look at wti at $23 discount to where breptd is. that's not sustainable in the long time, but given inventory levels, that will stay. >> do you keep your trade on oil? >> we have neutral position, but we're short the front month. respe respect. we make money by rolling the contracts the other way around. we're long oil in the 12 months forward rolling in to the 13th month and we end up with little more oil with that strategy. so more of a curve play. >> all right. patrick, you're with us for the first half hour. also we'll be out to new york for a check of the retail sector in the w
CNBC
Nov 1, 2012 5:00am EDT
yesterday afternoon. >> and danielle lee joins us, she's in the town of toms river. and we know this is one of the hartest hit areas. with you tell us how extensive the damage is? >> all of those popular summertime vacation communities are cut off from society. and there are stand reminders, bits of people's lives ripped to shreds. people here beginning a third day without power. millions of people throughout the state have no power. they are really getting ready to get back to life as normal. many walking around just wanting to get over to the jersey shore, those that have being a straighted, straigh to see what was left. and they can't do it possibly for a couple days because of the safety issue. just yesterday we got to see the streets filled with sand and the homes ripped from the foundat n foundations as emergency crews went door to door to get everyone out. now they're focused on the restoration, making those communities safe so they can begin letting people to get back to their homes to see what if anything if can he salvage. people trying to get back to normal. long lines for
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 4:00am EST
. >> you can e-mail us worldwide@cnbc.com and we'll show a little bit more of that interview with the italian he finance minister at 10:45 c event t. everything's in cet. central european time. >> is that the market standard? sgr i suppose. i can't even figure on out what time standard we're on anymore. but in any case, we're hearing from him there and thinking through you the dynamics of what each economy has to achieve while being hamstrung in this broader union. if you're in italy right now, what do you do, what can you do going into next year? >> you you are right to use the word hamstring. the global recession was bat, but in the eurozone, it was much worse because of the arrangement of the euro. and we are hamstring because they can't devalue competitively, they're stuck with high public sector spending problems. so italy heal ras to look at the labor markets. it's one thing we should be targeting throughout which is trying to cent to create jobs. that means freezing payroll taxes, looking at the supply side, looking at the corporate sector to create jobs. >> japan is going to t
CNBC
Nov 26, 2012 4:00am EST
christmas? pnc wealth management will tell us why it's a lot more than you might think. plus shoppers hitting the net today, the year's biggest day for online purchases. we'll asset how much cash shoppers have left over after black friday's billion dollar be in an sa. bonanza. we have some confident data out of italy. november consumer confidence 84.8. that is a record low. we've had protests, as well. they're gathering in brussels to try to hammer out a deal on the greek deficit. prime minister says they're cle. politicians are considering a debt forgiveness program but could see talso reaching agreement on a framework for the planned eurozone banking union. speaking to the ft, the eu internal markets commissioner said ministers must meet a december deadline in order to placate financial markets. and this as in spain voters in cat take loan i can't giving a victory to the separatist party, but the region's president lost ground. so what does it mean for the push for independence and the deficit reduction plans? julia is in barcelona for us. what does it all mean? >> it's being seen a
CNBC
Nov 8, 2012 4:00am EST
socialist path. eunice is live for us. this is his big final speech, so reading in sort of between the lines almost is very telling. it's the legacy he's trying to cath. and what less gassy is that? >> many here believe what he is saying is significant in that it is his final farewell. he really was just reading through the work report to talks about the achievements, the economic and political achievements that the party has had. and also to outline the future challenges. one of the first challenges you had already addressed is the issue of corruption. he said the government needed to do more to root it out. >> eunice, we're having trouble with your sound. we'll get the bite rolled as soon as we can. when we hear from -- i'd like to go back to eunice if we can to stay on this issue. but there's been a lot of focus in the last couple of days as to whether china's next leaders will be reformists or conservatives and just what the influence is of some of the older party leaders. so should investors actually be bracing not for a china that will continue reforms, but for a china that i
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 4:00am EST
all powers and that's gives china's next leader a strong mandate. eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander. that is very significant because it allows him to have more control over his own agenda. when he went to meet the press this morning, he was looking very casual, looking a about folksy. when he was youtd lining the challenges ahead for the nation. >> our party faces many challenges and there are many pressing problems that need to be resolved. the problems among our party members of corruption, taking bribes, being out of touch with the people, undue emphasis on formalities must be addressed with great efforts. the whole party must be vigilant against them. >> the problem is, though, that it's still unclear how he's going to tackle all of those challenges and just how a
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 4:00am EST
check in on how the asia trading session went overnight and for more, deidre wong morris joins us from singapore. >> well, it was a very good session over here, as well. headline driven. but a good session on the back of that optimism for fiscal cliff talk. all except this glaring spot of red. shanghai composite finishing lower for yet another session. it keeps falling further and further. doesn't seem that there is anything that policymakers or investors can do to lift sentiment in this market. different story in the hang seng, rebounding up about 1%. so a tale of two very different markets. hang seng up nearly 20 percent year to date. if you're playing china in both markets, very, very different views. the kospi is up 1.2%. asx 200 up 0.7%. major miners in focus. bhp and ceo coming out with comments that we'll talk about later. we have the japanese market continuing their rally. it's been quite the rally over the last few week. topex you might want to watch. goldman sachs year's target up by some 8%. there is still up side of about 20%. you could see some gains if they are corre
CNBC
Nov 12, 2012 4:00am EST
off until after the federal reserve is due to meet. joining us for more is global chief officer of global equities. and head of japanese research at jpmorgan securities. i suppose the question is whether this contraction here in the third quarter will be followed by another one in the fourth. >> it looks quite likely. you've got bad news on exports continuing and you've got on on top of that now a contraction in public spending beginning to come through. the boost we got after the weak construction from the disaster, that's now bapeaking out. so public demand and economic demand likely to drag us. >> and how much is domestic relying on government support? >> the domestic private side is actually doing really differencely okay. one data point here, you find that mortgage lending is actually growing now for six or seven consecutive months and that shows you that they're opening their purse spritrings little bit. but overall you're really looking at slight contraction in the economy. >> what extra pressure does this put on the government and the bank of japan? >> you're right be the f
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 4:00am EST
. treasury secretary. analysts warn that provoking beijing could put bilateral trade at risk. joining us for more, chairman of the asian pacific council at the american chambers of down. steven, are you fearful if we had a president romney because of his threats against china? >> no, the rhetoric is more than it should be, but that's what we expect in the business community. we generally move forward in terms of our economic and trade relations with china be it a democratic administration or republican administration. the message we would give to a second obama term or a first romney term will be the same when it comes to china which is tip to focus on bilateral and multilateral to address trade issues. >> are you comfortable that's going to happen? sg yes. if you look at all much of the avenues we have to deal with china, there's the jcct, the joint commission on commerce and trade, the strategic and economic dialogue, that was started in the bush administration, continued in the obama administration. you have all the remedies under the wto such as the latest tire case that was taken. s
CNBC
Nov 7, 2012 4:00am EST
. >> joining us for more analysis is ron freeman. ron, good morning. >> good morning, kelly. >> ron, what's your initial reaction here to the outcome? what's the biggest impact this is going to have on policy? >> i think the biggest impact it will have on policy is we have a president we know well. we know what his policies are. we know what he's tried to do. the real question is whether the congress will see that the negation approach has not worked for them and they need now to come together to a grand bargain as they face the imminent fiscal cliff, even during the lame duck congress. >> i thought for at least this morning we could put the uncertainty question out of our minds. haven't all of our problems been solved? shouldn't we know that everyone's going to come together in the bipartisan spirit they're so espousing in these speeches overnight? >> kelly, as always, you ask just the right question. as we know, governor romney was obliged because of the current nature of the republican party to run a very cynical campaign, starting as a conservative rian then moving to moderate. they wil
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 4:00am EST
streak helped by technology stocks and also ship builders. in us a take i can't, commodity plays lent support to the asx 200. talks of a leverage buyout plan. sensex now trading louisa, back to you. >>> the spanish bad loans according to reuters, now at the 10.7% during the month of september versus 10.5% seen in august. so according to the bank of spain, we're seeing that figure just creeping up just by a tad. now, in the u.s., a slightly grimmer picture. major u.s. indices have fallen by 5% since the election day. this month already stacking up to be the worst november for the dow and the s&p 500, ninth worst november since 1973. so it's been pretty dismal trade if you're an equity holder. hi, charles. we talk about this and we're looking at a bounce in europe this morning. do we think the grimness will continue? >> i think the equity markets, they couldn't really believe bond the election until it was out of the way. you had clearly different scenarios fending on who won. having got that we were left with very much the same political structure that we had going into it. so you had
CNBC
Nov 22, 2012 4:00am EST
november. joining us, chief european economist. ricar ricardo, thanks for joining us. so still a negative territory. what does this point to in terms of the economic decline for the fourth quarter? >> i think it's in line with the idea that real sgchlt dp will decline by at least 0.2%, possibly 0.3%. it will give us a negative entry point in 2013 when i expect an average growth of minus 0.2%. so still moderately recession territory. >> the german flash composite pmi 47.9, services 48, manufacturing 46.8, is germany -- we just saw the 0.2% print. is girl aermany going to have a negative contract? >> i'm looking for a contraction of minus 0.2. so only aed modest one. i expect activity will stabilize in q1 of next year, but obviously that requires a favorable external environment, meaning u.s. not going into this deep due to the fiscal cliff. and also signs of improvement in asia. >> meanwhile the french pmi says the survey there suggests a 0.7% gdp drop in quarter 4 for france. >> that seems quite large. we've seen in recent quarters numbers out of front which were higher than sugg
CNBC
Nov 27, 2012 4:00am EST
across the floor and it keeps crawling away from us. we're picking up up the baby and bringing it back closer to us, but it's still crawling. so as soon as you put it down, it's heads off back where it came from. so the real problem with greece, they say the good news is we'll stay in the euro. really? the problem for greece is that greece in the euro appears to be uncompetitive. you either come out of the euro, and you have big significant drop in the value of your currency so everything that you do, no one would seem there is much change in import costs, but suddenly everything in greece is more than competitive. but if you stay, instead of the currency dropping 0%, every person's salary has dropped 30%. so this gets much, much harder. >> it's clear the internal devaluation is much more difficult, but also that it has been happening in greece. p what's your take on this? ich heard t i've heard the argument about the internal devaluation which is extremely difficult and results in the break down of the social cohesion. p are they making enough progress in your view, will they con
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 4:00am EST
of the euro area being used most fruitfully. the world bank's latest doing business report highlights greece as one of ten countries that have most improved the ease of doing business from a rather unfavorable level. the momentum is clearly going in the right direction, although much remains to be done. spain and portugal were among the countries that marie solving insolvent firms easier. crucial agreement for restructuring the economy in this transition period as resources must shift from unproductive to productive activities. it is the latter that create jobs. this reallocation process, though sometimes painful in the short run, i'll say always painful in the short run, carries the seed of future prosperity. a growing body of knowledge shows that by increasing the ability of the economy to adjust so that factors can be reallocated to the most competitive firms, aggregate labor productivity can increase substantially. some studies indicate a gain of as much as 20 force 30%. the current focus on competitiveness in france leading towards an institutional and fiscal set up that can supp
CNBC
Nov 23, 2012 4:00am EST
waiting for the ifo sentiment index, see whether it confirms what the pmis have been telling us this week about the german economy. suggests we may be heading into possibly contraction territory. expecting it to be around 99.5 versus 100. expectations entex is frft at 93.2, unchanged from the previous reading. not out yet. kathleen brooks is with us. i'm not sure why we don't have it but anyway, whatever your expectations are for this, how close is germ 234i going to skirt with contraction in the fourth quarter? >> it certainly has been slowing down and it looks like there's the possibility that even germany is starting to have some mild contraction and maybe even in the technical recession i would think over the next two quarters. the economic indicators have been coming down in determine any, there had been an expectation that consumption kicks up more in the country. which it has a little bit, but a little less than maybe people have been expecting. obviously the fallout from the international crisis and the backdrop is not really helping. >>. >> euro-dollar edging up to a three w
CNBC
Nov 28, 2012 4:00am EST
underperform, they reminded us very few of its member countries have great growth prospects going forward. that's probably wise. people are saying why is it that across the globe the u.s. fiscal cliff is such an issue. well, it's because sources of growth at this point are few and far between. >> that is the problem. where is growth going to come from. the one place that looked set for a reasonable 2013 was the u.s. economy. europe flat, china slower probably than this year. but a reasonable set of growth. if you put a 3.5%, 4% of gdp drag on that economy which was only growing at 2, 2.5, you're talking about throwing it into recession. that's why markets are taking heart this morning and equities remain nervous. >> the rhetoric, to avoid the fiscal cliff, taxes go up, dividend tax rates, personal tax rates, corporate tax rates go up, that that itself will cause economic weakness. what do you say to that? how are we supposed to balance the risks of doing things to avoid the fiscal cliff that may also hurt growth? >> one way or the other, there is a problem. if you kick the fiscal
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 4:00am EST
market martin schultz is with us. thanks for joining us. is this a sign of things to come, a big standoff with japan? >> well, it's rather surprising that a hopeful government coming in is picking a fight with the bank of japan when they're starting off. what is happening here is that it seems that the ldp doesn't really have a growth strategy right now and the frustration in industry with the strong yen and slowdown in export is tremendous about that. >> big problems if we have unfettered money printing. would there be as he also says 30 years of deflation? >> well, one of the lessons we have here is that many different monetary policies didn't work so far. we still have an economy that is in restructuring mode with many corporations. so sony, sharp, still trying to get back on their feet. on the other hand, we also have an economy that is slinging simply by aging and what would be needed would be strong growth policies and this is what the bank of japan will be pushing when he's in office. on the other hand, deflation is there, printing more yen might be helping on on that side
CNBC
Nov 6, 2012 4:00am EST
. >> so let's get more on this. joining us is julian callow at barclays. julian, good to see you. what do you make of the pmis? >> clearly we're in a situation where the eurozone is still in recession effectively. that's the message coming from them, at the same time at a global level we are seeing some signs of a turning around gradually in terms of very depressed levels of business confidence. in particular i think we really have to look here to the united states and to china to see some stronger business confidence develop over the course of the next six months and that can maybe feed through in the case of the eurozone. of course germany is in a relatively balanced position, but other countries are seeing signs still of ongoing economic contraction if we look at the pure business confidence measures. and that's also born out i think by the labor market indications, as well, such as unemployment. >> does the fact that germany is seen as weakening actually make it easier for the european central bank to be more aggressive because they don't necessarily have to balance the risks of ov
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 4:00am EST
innermost ring of power. eunice is in beijing with more. just run us through how this pans out and what we sort of know at the moment. do we know any more details on numbers of that bureau? >> reporter: well, they're supposed to be about 25, but right now we're in a very critical period in this leadership selection process, because the central committee, which is a very powerful committee, has already been chosen. that happened this morning. and the 200 or so people who are on that committee are now going to be deciding on who is going to be in the innermost circle of power. as well as the upper elite, so those people are among the standing committee. so the current vice president as well as the vice premier are likely to be on that standing committee if they are indeed going to be elevated to the position of party chiefs, which most people expect. but at this stage, we know that there's a lot of jock i canning for position at this stage. because the country is at a kros road -- crossroads. many people expected him to really try to have a lot of influence in the final few of that uppermost
Search Results 0 to 22 of about 23